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2025 Market Review and What It May Mean for Investors in 2026

  • Writer: Jeff Schlotterbeck, CFP®
    Jeff Schlotterbeck, CFP®
  • Jan 8
  • 3 min read

As we turn the page on 2025, it’s worth stepping back to reflect on what shaped markets over the past year—and what lessons may carry forward into 2026.


Markets delivered strong results, but not without moments of uncertainty. Understanding what drove returns can help reinforce the importance of discipline, diversification, and long-term thinking.


A Third Consecutive Strong Year for U.S. Stocks


The bull market that began in late 2022 continued through 2025. U.S. equities posted another solid year, supported by steady economic growth, resilient corporate earnings, and continued enthusiasm around artificial intelligence.


Technology stocks once again led the way, with growth concentrated in companies benefiting most directly from AI-driven productivity and innovation.


Table showing key index returns for December 2025 and 2025. Highlights: MSCI World ex-USA 2.9%/28.6%. Green header, white background.

Volatility Reminded Investors of Risk


Markets experienced a sharp but temporary pullback in early April when new tariffs introduced uncertainty. When those tariffs were later softened, volatility subsided and investors re-engaged.


This episode was a reminder that short-term market swings are often driven more by headlines than fundamentals.


Global Stocks Finally Took the Lead


One of the biggest surprises of 2025 came from outside the U.S.


A weaker dollar significantly boosted returns for U.S. investors holding international stocks. In addition:


  • Global markets entered the year with lower valuations

  • Looser fiscal policies supported economic growth abroad

  • Trade tensions and policy uncertainty encouraged diversification


The result was a standout year for non-U.S. equities and a reminder of the benefits of global diversification.


Gold’s Strong—but Volatile—Performance


Gold delivered an impressive return, supported by:

Stacks of shiny gold bars with engravings "999.9 Fine Gold" and "2008," glowing under bright light.

  • A weaker U.S. dollar

  • Central bank purchases

  • Geopolitical and trade uncertainty

  • Questions surrounding fiscal discipline


While many of these factors remain in place, gold remains speculative and prone to sharp price swings.


The Federal Reserve and Interest Rates


The Federal Reserve continued lowering interest rates against a backdrop of ongoing economic growth. Historically, rate cuts during expansionary periods have been more supportive of equities than cuts made during recessions.


Corporate profit growth remained strong, helping markets absorb shifting monetary policy.


Looking Ahead to 2026


Wall Street forecasts currently point to continued—but more moderate—growth in 2026. Economic expansion and earnings growth remain supportive, even as inflation stays modestly above the Fed’s long-term target.


Still, forecasts are just educated estimates. No one knows exactly how markets will unfold.


Why Discipline Still Matters


Uncertainty is not a flaw in the system—it’s the price investors pay for long-term returns. Diversification, patience, and a well-constructed plan remain the most reliable tools investors have.


Markets will disappoint at times. History shows that disciplined investors who stay focused on long-term goals are consistently rewarded.


Final Thoughts


While diversification can’t eliminate losses, it remains one of the most effective ways to manage risk and pursue long-term financial objectives. A thoughtful investment strategy is built not on predictions, but on preparation.


If you’d like to review your portfolio positioning or discuss how today’s market environment fits into your broader financial plan, I invite you to schedule some time to chat through the link below.





Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This material is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information; no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability, or usefulness of any information. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. For illustrative use only.

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